Timeline of Lighter's Price Surge | If a bull had predicted LIT's rise in the prediction market, would they have already made 10x?

According to PolyBeats monitoring, based on HTX market data, LIT hit a low of approximately $2.27 on August 19 and rose to around $5.26 today, representing a gain of approximately 102%.

Looking at related Polymarket probability shifts over the same period, the odds of "LIT breaking $8 within this year" have climbed from 4.2% on August 19 to 42% currently. For those who bought "Yes" during the window after the concentrated release of policy narratives, the theoretical floating profit has now approached nearly 10x, with no liquidation risk.

On August 19, Bitcoin rose approximately 7.1% in a single day, briefly reclaiming the $70,000 level during trading, as market sentiment shifted from defensive to risk-on.

On August 20, Lighter founder Vladimir Novakovsky spoke at a CFTC Innovation Advisory Committee meeting, advocating that verifiable on-chain trading could enhance regulatory transparency. Novakovsky announced in July this year that he had personally become a member of the CFTC Innovation Advisory Committee.

On September 8, Lighter stated that since the TGE, it has programmatically repurchased a cumulative total of 17.5 million LIT tokens, accounting for 7% of the token's circulating supply.