header-langage
简体中文
繁體中文
English
Tiếng Việt
한국어
日本語
ภาษาไทย
Türkçe
Scan to Download the APP

「Stock Market Oracle」 Serenity's February Prediction Accurately Realized: Capturing Korean Stock Options Volatility Mismatch, Profits Surge Over 4x

BlockBeats News, May 26th - Rising tech stock guru Serenity successfully profited from a volatility arbitrage play on Korean index options, earning the title of "Small-Cap Tech Stock God." Serenity stated that the long EWY (iShares MSCI South Korea ETF) call option trade logic proposed as early as February 13th has now been fully realized, achieving over 300% gains, with the position yielding more than 4x returns. Serenity believes that the constituents of EWY, mainly Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, the two memory giants, are high-volatility assets with an implied volatility estimate of 65-80%. However, the entire index options were severely undervalued, with a mispricing of only around 32%, much lower than Google and Amazon. Market makers overly relied on historical low volatility data, overlooking the new normal of high volatility brought by the AI memory supercycle.


Serenity mentioned that the profits mainly came from the combination of the underlying asset's rise and the repricing of volatility. During this period, despite the market being filled with noise about energy crises and a South Korean stock market bubble, the memory supercycle continued to unfold, with Samsung and SK Hynix printing money like crazy.


BlockBeats Note: Serenity is a senior trader with significant influence on the WallStreetBets (WSB) Reddit forum, with a cumulative ROI of over 38 times this year. Their core research results are consistently publicly available for free, focusing on the critical links in the NVIDIA AI chip industry chain. They meticulously analyze the indispensable "screw" type components in the chip manufacturing and packaging process, accurately identify key chokepoints in the supply chain, and based on this, explore upstream targets with scarcity and bargaining power.

举报 Correction/Report
Correction/Report
Submit
Add Library
Visible to myself only
Public
Save
Choose Library
Add Library
Cancel
Finish