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Analyst: US-Iran Talks Optimism to Support Gold, But Fed's Neutral Stance to Limit Upside Potential

BlockBeats News, April 17th, Investinglive analyst Giuseppe Dellamotta stated that despite the decline in real yields, easing financial conditions, a weakening US dollar, and other bullish factors, the recent upward momentum of gold has weakened. Since the sharp drop at the end of January, gold's performance has indeed been lackluster, with the main difference being that the Federal Reserve has shifted from its previous dovish stance to a neutral one. However, with the optimistic expectation of a US-Iran agreement, gold should still find support, and the downside should be limited. Now everything depends on the US-Iran negotiations.


If the negotiations break down again, the gold price may experience a larger pullback, but as long as the ceasefire agreement is maintained, the decline should be limited. On the other hand, if a peace agreement is reached, gold may receive a new boost, continue its rally, and reach new highs. To drive gold to a larger extent, a shift back to a dovish stance by the Federal Reserve is needed. (Golden Finance News APP)

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Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is facing a serious policy dilemma: under immense government debt and political pressure, the Fed has had to abandon its independence and anti-inflation stance. Instead, it has resorted to measures like quantitative easing to finance the government, creating a situation of "fiscal dominance" similar to the Volcker era of the 1970s. This foreshadows the Fed's need to reinitiate loose monetary policy, which could potentially drive up the prices of assets like Bitcoin.
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