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After the release of CPI data, the market expects the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September to rise to 87%.

BlockBeats reported that on September 11, according to CME’s “Fed Watch” data, the market currently expects the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September to be 87% (up 16% from before the announcement), and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 29%.

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Core CPI at 0.2% month-over-month means the Fed stays put, while 0.3% triggers a rate hike.
The current interest rate hike probability is around 50%, with benign inflation data potentially prompting a wait-and-see approach. However, the hawkish stance still introduces uncertainty into the future policy outlook.
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