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DCG moment of crisis: Will it explode? What "butterfly effects" might be triggered?

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What's next for DCG in the face of Gemini's onslaught?
原文标题:《 DCG 即将爆雷吗?加密市场至暗时刻或至 》
Original article by Asher Zhang
Source: Biti   BitpushNews


According to financial index firm. T  3 Index  Data show that the BitVol (bitcoin volatility) index at   2023  Year   1  Month   1  The day fell to 49.67 & have spent , created from   2019  Year   4  New low for the month. But with nbsp; 1  Month   2  Day, Gemini  Co-founder   Cameron Winklevoss  To the founder of DCG. Barry Silbert  The crypto market is once again clouded by an open letter sent out. DCG  When is the crisis most likely to erupt? In the face of Gemini  Eg. Step by step, What are the next steps? DCG  What butterfly effects might the crisis trigger?


DCG 危机时刻:会爆雷吗?可能引发哪些「蝴蝶效应」?


Gemini  A letter from Lianchuang Public DCG, the crypto market is back


Bitcoin volatility has decreased significantly recently, and even the U.S. stock market, which has been correlated, is no longer following suit. Market analysis believes that the current low activity of long indicates that retail investors bottom hunting funds in a sharp decline, short activity indicates that the currency holders have a reluctant to sell mentality. If the main force wants to build a position, it will need a wave of panic to make the market surrender its chips. With   Gemini  A letter from Lianchuang Public DCG, the crypto market is once again clouding over, panic is widespread, Bitcoin volatility is also starting to increase. Neil: Well, so... How big is the crisis? And when will it come?


According to Biitou, 1  Month   2  Day, Gemini  Co-founder   Cameron Winklevoss  On behalf of Earn  Product over   34  Ten thousand users, to   DCG  Founder   Barry Silbert  Send an open letter demanding that he pay what he owes. 9  More than a billion dollars. Cameron  Said: Barry Silbert  For the past six weeks, he has refused to cooperate and employed malicious delaying tactics; DCG  Owe   Genesis  About   16.75 & have spent Hundreds of millions of dollars, that's what Genesis  Owe   Earn  Users and other creditors of the money. Barry Silbert  Use that money to fuel voracious share buybacks, illiquid venture capital, suicidal gray-net worth transactions (see article). AUM  Growth); All at the expense of the creditor, all for his personal benefit. Its requirements   Barry Silbert  Public commitment in   2023  Year   1  Month   8  "There is not much time left," he said.


DCG 危机时刻:会爆雷吗?可能引发哪些「蝴蝶效应」?


For   Gemini  An open letter published by Linkup. Founder   Barry Silbert  The response: DCG  There is no following. Genesis  Loan   16.75 & have spent A hundred million dollars. DCG  Never missed a payment. Genesis  Interest on all outstanding loans currently being repaid; The next loan due date is. 2023  Year   5  Month. DCG  In   12  Month   29  Heliotropic   Genesis  And   Gemini  "Has submitted a proposal but has not received any response." For   Barry Silbert  "In response to the comments of Gemini's co-founder. Cameron Winklevoss  He tweeted again: "There you go again. Stop pretending that you and you were innocent bystanders who didn't have a hand in creating this mess. It's hypocritical. If you hadn't borrowed the money, how could you have defaulted on Genesis 16.75,000,000 dollars? And that note, will you promise to pay it at the maturity of 1&8 ?"


The debate continues, but for now. Gemini  Lianchuanghe   DCG  Between tweets in response to look, Whether in   1  Month   8  The daily maturity repayment will profoundly affect the trend direction of the crypto market. It is expected that with the passage of time, the panic sentiment in the crypto market will continue to intensify, and the long and short game will further become fierce.


DCG 危机时刻:会爆雷吗?可能引发哪些「蝴蝶效应」?


The crisis is at hand. How to deal with


DCG  The crisis did not begin today. Gemini  Eg. Step by step, What will be done next? This article reviews the crisis at the beginning, Some measures taken, perhaps for the development of the crypto market can provide some reference.


About   DCG  The crisis was first reported by a Twitter user as early as this year. 12  Month   15  Today, Twitter users. Andrew  Tweeted that it had been communicating with Genesis  Creditor communication, wherein   Genesis  In excess of the debt owed to creditors. 20  Hundreds of millions of dollars. Bankruptcy will be triggered. DCG  Super   15  Billions of dollars in callable loans (note: this is the same as   Gemini  Co-founder   1  Month   2  The day is called   DCG  Owe   Genesis  About   16.75 & have spent $100 million is consistent with that). DCG  A bankruptcy would trigger huge sums. GBTC  Liquidation.


Then in   12  Month   17  Day, multiple with   DCG (gray parent) related cryptocurrencies (FIL, ZEN, ETC, NEAR, etc.) have all sold off sharply, cryptocurrency analyst. Reflexivity Research  The founder of Will Clemente  Tweeted that the selling pressure may have come from. DCG  By itself. CHEV  Partner   Adam Cochran  Also said, from the specific decline of some copycat coins and trading volume, Seems to be liquidating. On the same day, according to The Block  Dutch cryptocurrency trading platform Bitvavo  Indicates that the storage is no longer accessible. DCG  Inner   2.8 & have spent Hundreds of millions of euros 2.97 & have spent $100 million) in assets. DCG  The risk of a thunderstorm has become clear.


12  Month   19  Late Sunday, the Wall Street Journal reported that Grayscale CEO Michael Sonnenshein said in a letter to investors that he would consider a tender offer for the outstanding shares of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) if it is not ultimately possible to convert the trust into a Bitcoin ETF. In our previous article, "What's the calculation behind Gray Offer Repurchase?


DCG  Can survive the crisis "analyzed, gray this move or in. DCG  Under the instruction, through the grayscale account funds to buy back the outstanding shares. GBTC, help parent company   DCG  Dispose of partially held   GBTC, thereby improving   DCG  Liquidity of assets. In short, take your money and buy it. DCG  In the hands of sb. GBTC, thereby injecting liquidity into it.


So from the current situation, There is a high probability that crypto assets will be liquidated further, thereby enhancing their own liquidity. Last time, it was... The time to liquidate some crypto assets is in. 12  Month   15  A few days ago, when the crypto market as a whole followed the rebound of the US stock market, the market is relatively good, and DCG  The timing of the sell-off may be largely because of its size. In the short term, in the 1  Month   8  Recently, crypto market risk as a whole is larger, even if it is likely to rise. DCG  Liquidation selling pressure. And with the passage of time and Gemini  Eg. Step by step, And   Genesis  Perhaps in desperation, regardless of the market and choose to continue liquidation, and this is being gradually confirmed by the data on the chain.


From the data on the chain,   1  Month   3  Day, PeckShield monitoring shows,   2  Days ago, marked   Genesis  The sleep address (0  x  815  c  At the beginning) will be 2  Ten thousand ETH (approx. 2400  $10,000) to   0  x  0  e  77  The first address and then the next. 2  Ten thousand nbsp; ETH  Convert into   wstETH, period   12  Month   31  Day   stETH/ETH  The exchange rate fell to a low point. 0.985 & have spent . (https://twitter.com/PeckShieldAlert/status/1610134187583082499 )


1  Month   3  Day   12  When the on-chain analyst. Noah  He tweeted, "I don't know. In   1  Recharge with Coinbase before the hour. 1600  Ten thousand nbsp; Gala, worth about   282  Ten thousand dollars. The analyst said. Genesis  May be actively dealing with it. Gemini  Liquidity problem.


DCG 危机时刻:会爆雷吗?可能引发哪些「蝴蝶效应」?


DCG  Where do you end up? All roads are big. V  How to see


Adjoint   DCG  And   Gemini  With the exchange on Twitter, nerves in the crypto market are starting to fray again. Neil: Well, so... How did the crisis of... DCG  Where will it end up?


1  Month   3  Day, encryption   KOL Andrew  Said on social media: "It is expected that crypto trading platform Gemini  will soon be forced into bankruptcy proceedings by Genesis Trading , while bankruptcy will be triggered by Genesis . Liquidation of assets (based on callable loans), DCG  or bankruptcy, grayscale trust assets will face significant risk."


Co-founder, Three Arrows Capital Zhu Su  He tweeted: Last summer, when DCG , Babel Finance , and other firms involved in GBTC , suffered huge losses from the collapse of Three Arrows Capital, they had the cool option of restructuring. Instead, they filled the hole with left-handed redeemable promissory notes. It's like a kid losing at poker and saying, "My dad will pay you to keep playing," when "dad" is really him. DCG , like FTX, has been misleading customers for the past few months, with no one asking how it closed the loophole and all this time taking in more deposits in the hope that market prices would rise. Genesis 's creditors, who will push it into bankruptcy in the next few days and take over the remaining assets, may demand &barry  to repay his cash out in a simple manner rather than waiting for the criminal case and restitution penalties from the U.S. Department of Justice."


New York Investment Management firm VanEck  Director of Digital Assets Strategy   Gabor Gurbacs  The commentary said: "In my personal opinion, the solution is DCG  equity should be sold and  Genesis  creditors should be compensated. This is an honest and sensible thing to do. My guess is that if there are willing sellers, there will be willing buyers.


DCG 危机时刻:会爆雷吗?可能引发哪些「蝴蝶效应」?


DCG  What "butterfly Effects" the Crisis May Trigger


Gemini  The co-founder of the company. DCG  The public letter, once again pushed the crypto market crisis to a cusp. I've talked a lot about this because. DCG  The potential crisis caused by the thunder and its future direction; Eg. However, What other "butterfly effect" has been triggered? This paper believes that the most important thing is to trigger the default of mining enterprises, thus impacting crypto financial institutions again and deepening crypto financial recession.


During this bull and bear cycle, many bitcoin miners have mismanaged their money and held large amounts of bitcoin on their books, such as Core Scientific, which filed for bankruptcy and kept nearly all of its bitcoin on its balance sheet until after the market crashed in May before selling its bitcoins. Adjoint   DCG  When the crisis breaks out, it is highly likely that the price of bitcoin will fall; And in this bear market, miners, already suffering, are likely to sell bitcoin further to survive, sending prices spiraling downward. Compute North (bankruptcy), Argo (collapse), and Argo (collapse; 50% ) , Bitfarms (Nasdaq issued a delisting warning), Core Scientific (shares near zero), etc. And according to nbsp; CoinDesk estimates that at least $1 billion to $2 billion of mining companies' debt stock remains undiscovered.


Miners have been overleveraged in this bull market, often using the usual form of debt as collateral for loans. And   NYDIG, nbsp; BlockFi,   Crypto finance firms such as Galaxy Digital, Silvergate, Trinity Capital and WhiteHawk offer these loans. With the coming of the wave of mining defaults, there will be further crisis of lenders, thus forming a chain of thunderstorms, which will undoubtedly deepen the recession of crypto finance.


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