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What project metrics do you need to focus on before buying NFT?

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While culture, community, and the arts are all important, data is equally important.

原文作者：Matty，Metakey 创始人

原文编译：0x137

本文梳理自 Metakey 创始人 Matty 在个人社交媒体平台上的观点，律动 BlockBeats 对其整理翻译如下：

每做出一次 NFT 投资决定前，我都会查看一些数据指标。尽管文化、社区、艺术都很重要，但数据同样不可忽视。

持有者

After finding an NFT project, we can click "Details" to see the contract address. (Rhythm note, author here refers to Open Sea website)

Then click on "Holders Tab" to see the top 1,000 Holders. Knowing these holders helps a lot. You need to know, are these people just selling NFT, or are they well-known collectors or long-term holders?

每个项目在不同的阶段都可能会有不一样的「抛售压力」。如果持有者里有很多大户钱包，就是一个危险的信号，一些 NFT 项目有 25～30% 的市场供应是由单个钱包地址提供的，这个地址就很可能是创始人自己的。如果这些地址决定抛售，那将是毁灭性的。

分布

In the case of Bored Ape Yacht Club, the project has a total of 10,000 NFT and 6,300 holders, so the distribution is 63%. This tells me roughly how many owners have only one monkey. The fewer people with multiple NFTS, the fewer sellers there are and the less pressure to sell. And the larger the percentage, the easier it is for prices to rise.

列出的 NFT

Obviously, the fewer numbers listed, the fewer sellers there are. If I want to buy a project, I watch this closely to gauge the heat of a project. As the number of listings drops, it becomes easier to raise prices.

走势图表

As shown below, the red box represents hype sentiment, indicating that the price has risen too fast; The green boxes represent the accumulation phase, when the floor is being restored; The purple box represents the steady accumulation of flow, which increases the percentage of distribution.

虽然这并不是非常明确的指标，但是仍然能帮我我做出一个大概的判断。我个人喜欢在绿色阶段买入。

价格墙

Sometimes there are a lot of NFTS for sale at a particular price. CloneX, for example, has about 20 at 18 ETH, which gives you an idea of the price at which a project might have upward resistance.

Sometimes there aren't many sellers between certain price points. As shown in the chart below, it takes only 4 trades to distinguish between 1.28 and 2.1 ETH, which means the price will rise quickly once volume picks up.

交易类型

When a project's transactions come primarily from "accepted bids" (red ETH icon) rather than actual buyers, it means that there are few buyers at the time, and prices often fall rapidly as bids are accepted and trigger more low price acceptances.