U.S. stock market plunge causes Anthropic's IPO probability to plummet, multiple smart money investors seize the opportunity to bottom-fish.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, CNN reported that on November 5, the Nasdaq fell as much as about 5.7% intraday, more than 10% below its October 6 high, Nvidia dropped about 7%, and the chip stock index fell about 10%. The report attributed the sell-off to Democrats winning Congress after the midterm elections, with investors worried that data center construction in Texas and elsewhere could slow.

On the same day, the probability of Anthropic IPOing this year fell from 90% to 66%, and 3 accounts with combined total profits on the platform exceeding $4 million invested a total of $44,800 in "Anthropic to IPO before __".

TheReturnOfDarthMaul participated in a total of 1,166 market trades, with a win rate of 62.4%, net profit of $1.6 million, and ROI +10.0%.

aenews2 participated in a total of 2,662 market trades, with a win rate of 72.2%, net profit of $2.4 million, and ROI +1.8%.

GollumGekko participated in a total of 3,217 market trades, with a win rate of 75%, net profit of $292,800, and ROI +2.4%.

Anthropic publicly filed its S-1 on October 26, planning to list on the Nasdaq under the ticker ANT. Yahoo Finance said the roadshow could begin as early as November 10, with the earliest pricing date November 13 and the earliest listing date November 16; The Wall Street Journal and Reuters reported a target of the week before Thanksgiving. The company has not yet announced the issue price or offering size.

Bloomberg reported that some investors estimate a fair valuation at about $1.4 trillion to $1.5 trillion. On November 5, The Wall Street Journal cited investors planning to participate in the offering as saying the valuation could fall further, with one saying it was closer to $1 trillion; another said that if institutions recently caught in losses are unwilling to take on more AI risk, the offering could be delayed and fundraising could also fall below the previous expectation of up to about $100 billion. The company and underwriters are expected to meet in the coming days to discuss the offering plan. Anthropic has not yet responded to the above reports.