BlockBeats news, November 2, according to CNN, on the eve of the U.S. midterm elections, Democrats are nearing recapturing the Senate majority, but several key seats remain in tight races, and deep-red states could still swing to either party. CNN has expanded its "most likely to flip" list to 11 seats, adding South Carolina, while Texas, Kansas, and other battlegrounds that almost no one favored earlier this year have moved up in the rankings. Democrats need to flip 4 Republican-held seats and hold all of their own seats to win the Senate majority.
The report said CNN polling averages show Trump's approval rating at about 34%, with the economy, the Iran war, and corruption issues driving Democratic mobilization. In the final month, Republicans spent about $560 million on election ads in the above 11 races, while Democrats spent about $521 million; excluding Georgia and North Carolina, the Republican advantage is even greater. The top of the list includes: North Carolina Democrat Roy Cooper leading Republican Michael Whatley by about 14 percentage points in the final High Point/YouGov poll, listed as the seat most likely to flip; former Ohio Senator Sherrod Brown leading by an average of about 5 percentage points; in Texas, James Talarico against Ken Paxton, CNN's average shows no clear leader, but recent New York Times/Siena and CNN polls show Talarico leading, with Musk-related spending accounting for more than about $168 million of Republican ads in that state. The rest of the list, in order, includes Maine, Alaska, Kansas, Iowa, Michigan, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Georgia.
