CLARITY is predicted to undergo a 75% annualized loss, rallying from a 60-day dormancy to achieve a flawless victory streak of nine battles on Hyperliquid.

BlockBeats News, August 27, according to TradingBeats (formerly Hyperinsight) monitoring, Polymarket trader "r1ch4rd" has been holding a long-term prediction position on the CLARITY Act established since June, with an unrealized loss of approximately 74.9% and has not sold any shares to date; on the other hand, after a two-month suspension of Hyperliquid trading, it resurfaced in the last 6 days to complete 9 rounds of contract trades, all profitable, with a total profit of approximately $482,400.

r1ch4rd has been betting since June 3 that the CLARITY Act will be signed into effect by 2026. He has completed a total of 19 buy orders, holding about 33,400 Yes shares, with a cost of about $19,300 and a comprehensive position probability of about 57.83%. The position was established when the market probability was still close to 60%; from June 8 to 11, after the probability dropped to 46%, he slightly increased his position again.

As of the time of writing, the probability of this event has plummeted to 14.5%, about 43.3 percentage points lower than his comprehensive position probability. His position has an unrealized loss of about $14,500, a loss of approximately 74.9%, but he has still not sold any Yes shares.

During the same period as the CLARITY position was established, r1ch4rd also started frequent trading of Hyperliquid (0xe60d), with unsatisfactory early results. From the first prediction position establishment to June 27, the cumulative realized net loss on the contract side was about $305,500, with major losses coming from NEAR, ZEC, and the first round of ETH long positions.

After June 27, the address suspended Hyperliquid trading for about 56 days until re-entering on August 22.

The results after resuming trading were completely opposite. In the last 6 days, he completed 9 rounds of trades, all profitable, with a total of approximately $482,400:

- 8 rounds of ETH long and short trades accumulated profits of about $473,500;

- 1 round of BTC short position made a profit of about $8,897;

The largest single-round profit came from a 2,450 ETH long position established on August 24 to 25, realizing a profit of about $163,600. The latest round bought ETH at $2,465.5 and closed the entire position in the afternoon at $2,484.3 today, with a position of approximately $8.903 million, realizing profits once again.

In contrast, its current CLARITY staking pool is only unrealized loss of about $14,500. The pool has achieved a return of approximately 3,340% in just the past 6 days.