The World Cup Final kicks off tonight, with a new account betting $1.17 million on Spain to win.

According to PolyBeats tracking, on the prediction market Polymarket, a new account has placed a bet of approximately $1.2 million on "Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" The average buying probability is 59.1%, and the current probability for "Yes" is 59.2%.

The World Cup final will take place at the MetLife Stadium in New Jersey at 3:00 AM Beijing time on July 20.

Spain's advantage lies in its overall performance. According to the Associated Press, Spain has been undefeated for 37 consecutive matches, only conceding 1 goal in the 7 games leading up to this World Cup, and has never been behind in a match. Their 2-0 victory over France in the semifinals has once again established Spain as the team with the most stable defense and control in this tournament.

In historical matchups, the two teams have met 16 times with each team winning 6 games and 2 matches ending in a draw. They have only met once in the World Cup, with Argentina beating Spain 2-1 in 1966. In more recent friendly matches, Spain defeated Argentina 6-1 in 2018, but Argentina also won 4-1 against Spain in 2010.

Account:
0xe3f1fb88b9eabc743e2a2d947e2efdba5e99bd92

Total Investment: $1.2M
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