1 New Account Bought "Will the US Launch Another Attack on Venezuela Later This Year?"

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, 35 minutes ago, a new account invested $1.5k in "Will the US launch another attack on Venezuela this year?", with an average buy-in probability of 51.9%, causing the "Yes" probability to surge from 11.0% to 51.9%.

The Associated Press reported on the 8th that Venezuelan Deputy President Delcy Rodríguez met with Turkish President Erdoğan in Istanbul, focusing on trade, energy, and mining cooperation. She had just visited India, also focusing on energy relations. Delcy Rodríguez was the Vice President during Maduro's tenure, and after Maduro's arrest by the US military in January this year, she became the de facto ruler of Venezuela.

Although the Trump administration has already frequently used military force in Latin America and surrounding waters this year, the US and Venezuela have agreed to restore diplomatic and consular relations. The US is also pushing for oil, gas, mineral, and political transition arrangements. A report by The Guardian on the 5th also indicated that Washington currently seems more willing to accept Delcy staying in the forefront in exchange for economic concessions and cooperation rather than immediately overthrowing the Rodríguez regime.

Account:
0x61c15aa6a337e11bf7eea78c34500c01631670d8

Total Investment: $1.5k
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