1 Smart Money bought a "Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026" share

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, a smart money has placed a $1600 bet on "Will Claude 5 be released before June 30, 2026?", with an average buying probability of 38.9%. The current probability for "Yes" is 66.0%.

The-Joker has also bet $1600, and the most relevant category for this market is Artificial Intelligence, with a net profit of $27,700. Out of 210 settled trades in this category, The-Joker has a win rate of 168/210 (80%), with 41 trades meeting the criteria of buying below $0.8 and selling above $0.95. Within a similar cost range ($0.301-$0.45), the median historical bet amount is $178.

Reuters reported on May 28 that Anthropic, while launching Claude Opus 4.8, is preparing to roll out the powerful Mythos model that is capable of influencing market expectations to all customers in the coming weeks.

In an official article on June 2, Anthropic stated that the company is working on securely releasing Mythos-level capabilities for general access as soon as possible but requires stronger anti-abuse security measures. The dual-purpose cybersecurity capability presents a major challenge in devising a robust and precise protection mechanism.

Tom's Hardware reported on June 5 that Anthropic disclosed Claude has now written over 80% of the company's production codebase, warning that AI has begun accelerating AI development itself. In internal testing, the unreleased Mythos Preview achieved approximately 52 times acceleration in training code optimization tasks.

Note: Based on the trader's past transaction profile, it is inferred that the trader is not betting on the actual outcome of events but may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss behavior at a certain point after opening a position.

Account:
0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729.
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