Smart Money Account 2 invested $59,400, believing that the "US and Iran will reach a permanent peace agreement by May."

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, 2 smart money accounts have invested $59.4k in the question "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before May?", with the current probability of "Yes" being 15%.

Out of these 2 smart money accounts, 0x53e55bc7 has a win rate of 33% in the politics category, with a total profit of $485k; 0x1521b47b has a win rate of 72% in the politics category, with a total profit of $598k.

Trump has announced an indefinite extension of the ceasefire with Iran, possibly to pave the way for future negotiations. The market has reacted to this with a drop in oil prices and a strengthening of gold prices, mainly because the market interprets Trump's extension of the ceasefire as a de-escalation move.

A senior Iranian official has stated that Tehran is open to discussions with the US in Pakistan, but only if Washington stops its "pressure and threats." The Iranian side has emphasized that they will not participate in any negotiations that seem like a "surrender."

Note: Based on their past trading behavior, this trader is not necessarily betting on whether the event will actually occur; they may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss behavior after opening a position at a certain point.

Accounts:
0x53e55bc7cb3d67ad177c023ce891ad076a9d6177
0x1521b47bf0c41f6b7fd3ad41cdec566812c8f23e

Total Investment: $59.4k
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