The Smart Money Account has invested $23,500 predicting that the Iran-US conflict will not end before May.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, an intelligent money account has invested $23.5k in buying "No" on "Will the Iran vs. US/Israel conflict end before May", with the current probability of "No" being 83%.

Iran rejected a two-stage arrangement proposed by the US and regional mediators, instead calling for a permanent ceasefire, lifting of economic sanctions, war reparations, and a new governance framework for the Hormuz Strait. Iran mistrusts Trump and is concerned that the US might use the ceasefire window to prepare for the next military action. After Iran's rejection of the ceasefire proposal, global markets clearly turned to safe-haven assets, with US stock futures under pressure, the US dollar remaining strong, and international oil prices continuing to rise, with Brent and WTI crude oil reaching around $110 and $113, respectively.

NOTE: Based on their historical trading behavior, the trader is not betting on the actual outcome of the event, as they may have set profit-taking and stop-loss levels after opening their position at a certain point in time.

Account:
0x8ccedcdd40c9623a524c2e734879fc397b865c11

Total Investment: $23.5k
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