Is a Ceasefire Really Happening? 6 Insiders Bet $400,000

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, 6 insider accounts collectively invested $395k in a bet on "US-Iran Ceasefire." Among them, $185k was invested in "Ceasefire by March 31," $99k was invested in "Ceasefire by April 30." Currently, the probability of "Ceasefire by March 31" is 13%.

Among these 6 accounts, 4 accounts newly registered in February this year accrued $933k by accurately predicting Iran's military strike;

1 account registered last year on the eve of the US-Israel joint strike on Iran accrued $784k by accurately predicting the 2025 US strike on Iran, Israel-Hamas ceasefire, and the assassination of Ayatollah Khamenei;

1 account, after accurately predicting the 2025 US strike on Iran and making a profit of $112k, went silent for 6 months, recently returned and invested $8100 in this month's ceasefire. It had a total investment of $37k in the 2025 Iran strike event.

Accounts:
0x1fa1be3eab546e06e4290839bf4c1d7abfbf1fa9
0xa4eb52229991c074bc560f825bf2776d77acd010
0xde7be6d489bce070a959e0cb813128ae659b5f4b
0x88c4919de76e526d55a32c1f8afb439dd1f1129a
0x0a854897a06d4999e5b2dde5693609f1428ffe9d
0xfe6eee00d36717359578ddb4d6e091d56bc9074e

Total Investment: $395k
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