US and UK Joint Action Affects Iraq-based Militants, "Attack on Iraq"-Related Betting Market Odds Skyrocket

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the Polymarket prediction market, the probability of "U.S. attacking Iraq before February 28" has surged from 1% to a peak of 80%, currently at 70%; the probability of "Israel attacking Iraq before February 28" has risen from 2% to a high of 95%, currently at 90%.

While launching a large-scale joint airstrike (codenamed "Epic Wrath" by the U.S. and "Roaring Lion" by Israel), in a pre-emptive effort to suppress retaliatory actions by Iranian proxy forces overseas, the U.S.-Israel military simultaneously conducted kinetic strikes against the pro-Iranian militia networks stationed within Iraq.

According to recent reports from AFP and The National, during the U.S.-Israel airstrikes on Iran, at the same time window, the Jurf al-Nasr military base located approximately 60 kilometers southwest of Baghdad, Iraq, was hit by missiles. This base serves as a key stronghold of the Iran-backed Shiite militia group "Asa'ib Ahl al-Haq." Internal sources from the militia group have confirmed that this airstrike has resulted in at least 2 armed personnel killed and 5 others injured.

As a result, the Iraqi Ministry of Transportation has declared the urgent evacuation of all air traffic and a complete closure of Iraqi airspace.
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