New Event: "Pakistan and Afghanistan Ceasefire by March 31?"

According to PolyBeats monitoring, a new market has been launched today on the prediction platform Polymarket: "Will Pakistan and Afghanistan declare a ceasefire by March 31st?" The current probability is 62%.

Pakistan has carried out large-scale air strikes in multiple areas of Afghanistan, declaring an "open war" and accusing each other of supporting cross-border militants. The conflict has resulted in dozens to hundreds of casualties. Previous rounds of talks led by Qatar/Turkey have failed, the ceasefire mechanism is largely ineffective, and the current situation represents one of the most serious escalations in recent years. Subsequently, the Afghan Taliban has openly expressed willingness to continue negotiations with Pakistan, hoping to ease the conflict through dialogue.

There are rumors that the top leader of the Taliban may have been killed in the air strikes, but as of now, this has not been confirmed by any mainstream media or official sources.
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