BlockBeats News, February 14th, Rhythm BlockBeats' subsidiary prediction market research brand PolyBeats officially released the "Russia-Ukraine War Prediction Market Analysis Report". Based on 79 "Russia-Ukraine Occupation" series events on the Polymarket platform, the report systematically replayed more than 23,316 independent on-chain addresses and over 3.09 million transaction records. Through a dual model of behavior focus and fund concentration screening, suspicious accounts were successfully identified with highly concentrated transactions, abnormally stable win rates (80%-93%), and significant deviation in profitability from retail investor characteristics.
The current prediction market is no longer just a betting tool, but a cutting-edge bridge connecting blockchain data and news discovery. This report aims to reveal how the prediction market captures geopolitical real signals in advance through on-chain abnormal trading behavior. PolyBeats applies this methodology to real-time monitoring and has successfully validated it in multiple fields.
The full report has been released on the BlockBeats website and official WeChat account "PolyBeats Truth Platform".
