Venezuelan Nobel Prize laureate Machado to meet Trump, "Public Award Ceremony" triggers betting settlement

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Trump to meet with Guaidó before January 16" and "Trump to share Nobel Peace Prize with Guaidó" markets settled as "Yes" a few hours ago.

In a meeting at the White House on January 15, 2025 Nobel Peace Prize laureate and Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado met with Trump. After Trump's intervention in Venezuela, Machado publicly thanked Trump for advancing democratic reforms and expressed willingness to share the Nobel Prize with him.

Trump has repeatedly claimed he deserves the Nobel Peace Prize. The public award-sharing behavior by Machado in this meeting is seen as symbolic sharing, triggering the market settlement. Machado hopes to leverage Trump's support to become Venezuela's transitional leader, and both parties discussed an oil agreement and a reconstruction plan.
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