The US June CPI will be released tonight at 8:30 PM, with expectations of a significant increase across the board.

BlockBeats News, July 15th: The US June CPI will be released tonight at 20:30, with expected data showing a broad-based increase. Earlier, several officials warned that inflation would rebound starting this summer. If the data confirms tariff pass-through effects, the Fed's rate cut in September may be in jeopardy, leading to potential sharp market volatility. (FXStreet)

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Tonight's US CPI, or a blow to September rate hike expectations?

The current interest rate hike probability is around 50%, with benign inflation data potentially prompting a wait-and-see approach. However, the hawkish stance still introduces uncertainty into the future policy outlook.

Will the Fed raise rates next week? Tonight's CPI may seal the deal.

Core CPI at 0.2% month-over-month means the Fed stays put, while 0.3% triggers a rate hike.

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