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Analyst: The rise in CPI is likely to suppress the probability of a Fed rate cut.

BlockBeats News, June 11, Exinity Group's Chief Market Analyst Han Tan stated: "The market is well aware that the path toward trade agreements among major economies is not smooth sailing. As long as the risk of further escalation in global trade tensions exists, or even remains elevated for a prolonged period, gold should continue to be supported."


CPI may provide investors with more insights into the Federal Reserve's policy trajectory. "The market expects CPI data to rise, which should dampen the likelihood of Fed rate cuts," Tan added. "We anticipate silver prices to reach $38/ounce in the coming months. Market deficit considerations and a weakening US dollar are key factors driving prices higher, with the potential to test $40/ounce." (Jin10)

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Core CPI at 0.2% month-over-month means the Fed stays put, while 0.3% triggers a rate hike.
The current interest rate hike probability is around 50%, with benign inflation data potentially prompting a wait-and-see approach. However, the hawkish stance still introduces uncertainty into the future policy outlook.
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