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This week saw mixed moves in US Treasury yields, with the CPI set to be released next week.

BlockBeats News, February 8th, the U.S. Treasury bond yield concluded a turbulent week with mixed movements, as the tariff threat prompted concerns about short-term inflation uptick and later economic growth slowdown. Forecasters have been attempting to estimate the tariff's impact on prices, but the on-again, off-again approach of the Trump administration has made this task challenging. January CPI and PPI will be released next week, with little expected variation. Futures markets indicate that the bets on the Fed cutting rates multiple times this year are diminishing. The 10-year Treasury bond yield fell this week, while the 2-year Treasury bond yield rose. (Jinshi)

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Core CPI at 0.2% month-over-month means the Fed stays put, while 0.3% triggers a rate hike.
The current interest rate hike probability is around 50%, with benign inflation data potentially prompting a wait-and-see approach. However, the hawkish stance still introduces uncertainty into the future policy outlook.
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