In this episode, Mel Mattison joins the show to discuss why he thinks we’re on the cusp of another inflationary bubble, the danger of growing entitlement obligations, and what more yield curve distortions mean for markets. We also delve into how gold could be on track for $50,000/oz, how all this will impact the FX market, and more. Enjoy!

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Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv

__

At Ondo, we design institutional-grade platforms, assets, and infrastructure to bring financial markets onchain. We believe that combining the best of TradFi with the best of DeFi will dramatically improve our financial system—making it fairer, faster, and more accessible to all.

Learn more about how Ondo is bringing capital markets onchain at https://ondo.finance/

—

Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(00:35) Mel’s Spot-on Market Predictions

(06:30) Macro Drivers of the Market Downturn

(09:04) Treasury Data and Fiscal Impulse

(13:36) Ondo Ad

(14:01) Treasury Data and Fiscal Impulse (Con't)

(15:39) The Anti-Dollar Trade

(23:28) Social Security and Long-Term Economic Outlook

(28:47) Trump Admin’s Grand Agenda

(34:37) Federal Reserve and Inflation

(35:54) Ondo Ad

(36:24) Bond Market and Yield Curve Distortion

(39:32) Yield Curve Distortions & Inflation

(52:52) Currencies and Emerging Markets

(57:57) Gold & Bitcoin

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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

This week, we join the Empire podcast to discuss where markets go next from here. After the market sold off in reaction to the Trump tariffs, we deep dive into the bull vs bear case in 2025, Trump's end game, building the perfect portfolio, Coinbase vs Robinhood, is Bitcoin really a safe haven asset & more. Enjoy!

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Follow Jason: https://x.com/JasonYanowitz

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Follow Santi: https://x.com/santiagoroel

--

Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance

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Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance

Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx

—

Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv

—

At Ondo, we design institutional-grade platforms, assets, and infrastructure to bring financial markets onchain. We believe that combining the best of TradFi with the best of DeFi will dramatically improve our financial system—making it fairer, faster, and more accessible to all.

Learn more about how Ondo is bringing capital markets onchain at https://ondo.finance/

Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world’s crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on https://Ledger.com.

—

Timestamps:

(00:00) Turning Bearish In 2025

(10:490 Ads (Ondo, Ledger)

(12:00) How Trump Spooked Markets

(15:46) The Trump & Bessent Playbook

(19:13) The Bull vs Bear Case In 2025

(27:57) Ads (Ondo, Ledger)

(29:07) How To Position Under Trump 2.0

(32:46) Will The Fed Step In?

(36:46) What We Learnt From SVB’s Collapse

(39:43) What’s Trump’s End Game

(44:31) Is Bitcoin A Safe Haven?

(47:24) Building A Crypto Portfolio

(01:01:01) Long vs Short Vol

(01:04:04) Coinbase & Crypto Equities

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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before even thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

This week, we discuss how we managed this insane week in markets, China and the evolving tariff strategy, and what’s going on with the bond market. We also delve into our expectations from the Fed, Secretary Bessent orchestrating policy behind the scenes, Bitcoin hitting ATHs in 2025, and more. Enjoy!

—

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Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance

Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx

—

Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1cAWJKncxGgliZa54aTq08eCgn9Q-P8x1/view?usp=sharing

—

Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv

—

At Ondo, we design institutional-grade platforms, assets, and infrastructure to bring financial markets onchain. We believe that combining the best of TradFi with the best of DeFi will dramatically improve our financial system—making it fairer, faster, and more accessible to all.

Learn more about how Ondo is bringing capital markets onchain at https://ondo.finance/

—

Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(00:39) PMLS IV

(02:02) Navigating This Insane Market

(07:32) Key Market Drivers

(12:22) Ondo Ad

(12:48) China & Tariffs

(16:31) US Spending Problem

(20:33) Bond Market

(24:12) The Fed & Inflation

(29:40) Powell, Bessent & Fiscal

(32:39) Ondo Ad

(33:10) Navigating A Volatile Market

(38:55) Secretary Bessent Running Point

(42:50) Alternative Trade Restructuring Strategies

(48:59) Unpacking the Bond Market Put

(52:47) BTC ATHs in 2025

(56:02) Market Tailwinds

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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

In this episode, Darius Dale of 42Macro joins the show to discuss Trump transitioning the US economy to a new paradigm, the potential for a recession and its impact on markets, and the threat of a debt refinancing air pocket. We also delve into why the Fed needs to transition to QE, how to approach portfolio allocation and risk management, and more. Enjoy!

—

Follow Darius: https://x.com/DariusDale42

Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc

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Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance

Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+nSVVTQITWSdiYTIx

—

Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv

—

At Ondo, we design institutional-grade platforms, assets, and infrastructure to bring financial markets onchain. We believe that combining the best of TradFi with the best of DeFi will dramatically improve our financial system—making it fairer, faster, and more accessible to all.

Learn more about how Ondo is bringing capital markets onchain at https://ondo.finance/

Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world’s crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on https://Ledger.com.

—

Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(00:06) Key Market Narratives

(04:03) Trump's Economic Vision

(13:28) Ads (Ondo, Ledger)

(14:39) Trump's Economic Vision (Con't)

(16:02) Technical vs. Actual Recession

(20:02) Credit Cycle and Market Positioning

(25:13) Market Pricing for Recession

(30:15) Fiscal Policy and Tax Cuts

(32:39) Ads (Ondo, Ledger)

(33:54) Federal Reserve's Mandates and QE

(37:26) Global Liquidity and Debt Refinancing

(43:50) Portfolio Construction and Risk Management

(47:34) KISS Portfolio System

(52:29) Managing Different Opinions & Systematic Investing

—

Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

This week, Tony Greer and Jared Dillian from Macro Dirt join the roundup to discuss the fallout of Trump’s tariffs, what markets we’re eyeing during this meltdown, and how to manage risk as a trader. We also delve into commodities, tax cuts, Bitcoin’s resilience, and more. Enjoy!

—

Follow Tony: https://x.com/TgMacro

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Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance

Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+nSVVTQITWSdiYTIx

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Forward Guidance Audience Survey: https://forward-guidance.beehiiv.com/forms/109bcbf7-0948-43b8-be8d-5390a5198125

—

Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv

—

Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(00:08) Forward Guidance x Macro Dirt

(01:32) Unpacking Trump’s Tariffs & Market Reaction

(09:56) Commodity Markets

(15:04) Federal Reserve and Economic Data

(24:27) Market Volatility and Bear Market Rallies

(25:57) Risk Management Strategies for Traders

(30:00) Gold Miners and Commodity Markets

(33:25) Tax Cuts and Tariff Implications

(37:43) Bitcoin's Resilience

(42:53) Bond Price Action

(44:53) Weekend Plans

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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

In this episode, Michael Howell joins the show to discuss the Fed & Treasury’s hidden stimulus tapering off, why we need more liquidity in the financial system to refinance debts, and why the Fed’s QE & duration goals are unrealistic. We also delve into the dislocation between the 10-year yield and mortgage rates, what China needs to do to escape its debt deflation, global liquidity’s correlation to Bitcoin’s price, and more. Enjoy!

__

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Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance

Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+nSVVTQITWSdiYTIx

—

Forward Guidance Audience Survey: https://forward-guidance.beehiiv.com/forms/109bcbf7-0948-43b8-be8d-5390a5198125

—

Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv

__

Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world’s crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on Ledger.com.

—

Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(00:06) Deep Dive into Bank Reserves

(03:53) Fed/Treasury Pump and Dump

(09:51) Global Liquidity and Debt Refinancing

(16:05) Ledger Ad

(16:49) Bank Reserves & Liquidity-to-Debt Ratio

(20:19) Post-GFC Financial System

(23:46) Repo Market Tensions

(35:01) Ledger Ad

(35:46) The Fed's Duration Dump and Debt Refinancing

(39:25) Yield Curve Suppression and Inflation Rates

(44:11) Credit Markets and Risk Appetite

(50:47) China's Economic Policy and Gold Strategy

(01:00:52) Bitcoin & Global Liquidity

(01:07:59) Final Thoughts

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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

In this episode, James Seyffart, Jeff Park, Robert Leshner, Ambre Soubrian, and John Mullin sit down at DAS to discuss tokenizing real world assets, how tokenization brings liquidity to assets similar to ETFs, and the opportunities around tokenized private credit, data, and more. We also delve into the next wave of institutional adoption, competing with the TradFi behemoths, and more. Enjoy!

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Follow John: https://x.com/jp_mullin888

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Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+nSVVTQITWSdiYTIx

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Forward Guidance Audience Survey: https://forward-guidance.beehiiv.com/forms/109bcbf7-0948-43b8-be8d-5390a5198125

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Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv

__

Timestamps:

00:00 Introduction

02:33 Tokenizing Real World Assets

07:45 ETFs and Tokenization

 14:16 Biggest Tokenization Opportunities

17:11 Tokenizing Data

20:55 Bringing the World On-Chain

24:35 Regulatory Expectations

26:47 The Next Wave of Institutional Adoption

31:59 European Market

33:16 Competing with TradFi

36:20 Institutional Adoption and Future Outlook

__

Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

In this episode, Le Shrub joins the show to discuss the end of American exceptionalism, overexposure to Mag7 and the US dollar, and European allocators moving away from the United States. We also delve into the era of geographic diversification, the detox period in the US to lower the 10-year and more. Enjoy!

__

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Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance

Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+nSVVTQITWSdiYTIx

—

Forward Guidance Audience Survey: https://forward-guidance.beehiiv.com/forms/109bcbf7-0948-43b8-be8d-5390a5198125

—

Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv

__

Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world’s crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on Ledger.com.

—

Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(00:02) The End of American Exceptionalism

(03:28) Trump Policies and European Response

(08:45) China's DeepSeek Moment

(13:00) Ledger Ad

(13:45) US vs. Europe

(22:52) The Role of Hedge Funds and Pension Funds

(32:53) Ledger Ad

(33:37) The Role of Hedge Funds and Pension Funds (Con't)

(35:51) US Market Flexibility vs. European Rigidity

(37:07) Risks and Opportunities in Europe

(44:51) Trading the US Detox Period

(50:26) Bond Market vs Fiscal Policies

(58:09) Final Thoughts & Main Takeaways

__

Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

In this episode, Joseph Wang and Austin Campbell join the show to discuss their overview of macro after the latest FOMC meeting, the EM-ification of the United States, and how stablecoins play into the continuation of US dollar hegemony. We also delve into support for stablecoin legislation, the case against the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve & US sovereign wealth fund, and more. Enjoy!

__

Follow Joseph: https://x.com/FedGuy12

Follow Austin: https://x.com/CampbellJAustin

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Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance

Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+nSVVTQITWSdiYTIx

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Forward Guidance Audience Survey: https://forward-guidance.beehiiv.com/forms/109bcbf7-0948-43b8-be8d-5390a5198125

—

Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv

__

Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world’s crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on Ledger.com.

—

Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(00:11) Macro & Crypto Colliding

(01:09) Overview of Macro and FOMC Meeting

(04:25) US EM-ification

(09:39) Ledger Ad

(10:23) What is Good Fiscal & Monetary Policy?

(13:55) Stablecoins and US Treasury Demand

(19:01) Stablecoin Legislation

(23:44) Reinventing Money Market Funds

(24:29) Ledger Ad

(32:58) Strategic Bitcoin Reserve & Sovereign Wealth Fund

(36:54) Final Thoughts

__

Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

In this episode, Jonah and Avi from 1000x join the show to discuss Bitcoin vs altcoin inflows, the Trump impact on markets, and the bull case for Bitcoin. We also delve into global liquidity, how to position for 2025, and more. Enjoy!

__

Follow Jonah: https://x.com/jvb_xyz  

Follow Avi: https://x.com/AviFelman 

Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc

Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance 

Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ 

Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance 

Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+nSVVTQITWSdiYTIx 

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Forward Guidance Audience Survey: https://forward-guidance.beehiiv.com/forms/109bcbf7-0948-43b8-be8d-5390a5198125 

—

Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv  

—

Timestamps:

00:00 Introduction

00:30 BTC vs Alt Inflows

08:46 The Trump Impact On Markets

16:14 Why Have Markets Sold Off?

20:14 The Bull Case For Bitcoin

23:09 Global Liquidity

26:13 How To Position In 2025?

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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.