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Can Trump, Bessent, & DOGE Drive Long Bond Yields Lower? | Weekly Roundup
51分15秒
02-07
Episode Summary
Voice Summary:
0:00:00

This week, we discuss the possibility of the market discounting Trump, Bessent, & DOGE success, the market implications of the Treasury QRA, and whether the manufacturing uptick is tariff front-running or the beginning of a new boom. We also delve into the state of the crypto market, MicroStrategy’s earnings, and much more. Enjoy!

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https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york

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Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(02:02) Upcoming DAS 2025

(03:05) Tariff Delays

(04:41) Bitcoin and Crypto

(10:54) Ads (Skale, Ledger)

(12:01) Liquidity Outlook and Dollar Strength

(17:02) Market Discounting Trump, Bessent, & DOGE

(20:32) Treasury Issuance and Policy Changes

(28:06) Growth & Liquidity

(29:02) Bond Yields and Growth Expectations

(30:51) Ads (Skale, Ledger)

(32:06) Construction and Manufacturing

(33:57) Government vs. Private Sector

(36:14) Stock Market and Investment Sentiment

(40:44) MicroStrategy and Bitcoin Investments

(43:49) Evaluating Government's Role in Investments

(47:54) Upcoming Jobs Report

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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Next Episode
The Credit Cycle Is Just Getting Started | Andreas Steno Larsen

In this episode, Andreas Steno Larsen joins the show to discuss the outlook for liquidity, the uptick in the manufacturing and credit cycle, and expectations around inflation. We also delve into Powell’s QE comments, idiosyncratic drivers of gold, and much more. Enjoy!


Follow Andreas Steno Larsen: https://x.com/AndreasSteno

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Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance

Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_

Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance

Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.co/G7Ljv4x5Dp

Forward Guidance Audience Survey: https://forward-guidance.beehiiv.com/forms/109bcbf7-0948-43b8-be8d-5390a5198125

Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. Use code FG10 for 10% off general admission!

https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york

__

SKALE is the next evolution in Layer 1 blockchains with a gas-free invisible user experience, instant finality, high speed, and robust security. SKALE is built different as it allows for limitless scalability and has already saved its 46 Million users over $9 Billion in gas fees. SKALE is high-performance and cost-effective, making it ideal for compute-intensive applications like AI, gaming, and consumer-facing dApps. Learn more at skale.space and stay up to date with the gas-free invisible blockchain on X at @skalenetwork

Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(01:18) Current Macro Backdrop and Market Sentiment

(01:48) Liquidity Backdrop and Federal Reserve Policies

(04:33) Private Sector Liquidity and Credit Creation

(10:21) Treasury General Account and Debt Ceiling

(17:30) Skale Ad

(17:54) Future Liquidity Measures and Market Implications

(21:06) Private Credit and Economic Cycle

(26:55) Meta's Client Base and Market Power

(27:44) Russell Index and Wage Growth Insights

(29:42) Inflation and CPI Analysis

(33:17) Skale Ad

(33:46) Global Tariff Impacts and Dollar Outlook

(36:26) European Market Performance

(42:05) Gold Market Dynamics

(48:22) Bond Yields and Trueflation Measure

(51:19) Learn More About Andreas and his Work


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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

51分56秒 2025-02-12
Host
Single Episode:118
02-07