Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's infidelity scandal escalates, with a prediction market account holding a 95% win rate forecasting the possibility of his resignation.

According to monitoring by PolyBeats, on November 8, Nvidia's board of directors announced that it would launch an independent investigation following recent reports that Jensen Huang became the target of foreign intelligence activity. On the same day, Jensen Huang acknowledged in a letter to employees that he had been unfaithful to his wife, said he took full responsibility, and supported the board's investigation.

On the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of "Jensen Huang resigning or being removed as Nvidia CEO within the year" is 15.5%.

Parz1vaI bought $23.1k "No." This account has a win rate of 79.9% across 360 markets traded in the tech sector, with PnL +$76.9k and ROI +6.0%. The amount invested in this trade was 6.55 times its average investment in that sector.

Gdub bought $1.7k "No." This account has a win rate of 70% across 93 markets traded in the financial sector, with PnL +$7.5k and ROI +4.1%. The amount invested in this trade was 0.86 times its average investment in that sector.

Seutervoinen bought $1.5k "No." This account has a win rate of 95.2% across 64 markets traded in the financial sector, with PnL +$11.6k and ROI +3.1%. The amount invested in this trade was 0.25 times its average investment in that sector.

On the same day, Trump told CNN that he had not spoken with Jensen Huang since Nvidia announced the investigation, and called Huang "a nice guy" who "probably has an explanation for it." This is not an announcement of departure by Nvidia or Jensen Huang himself.

This market settles on the question of whether news that Jensen Huang has resigned or been removed from the position of Nvidia CEO will be officially announced before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on December 31, 2026. Resignation includes retirement, stepping down, and moving to another position within the company. Removal includes dismissal by the board or termination of his position. The announcement only needs to take effect within 18 months; actual departure before the end of the year is not required.