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Examining the Suspicious Account Clusters on Prediction Markets for the 'Israeli Election'

According to PolyBeats monitoring, as of October 12, the probability of "Netanyahu becoming the next Israeli Prime Minister" on the prediction market Polymarket is 30.5%.

Among the top 100 holders of "Yes" and "No" in this market, totaling 200 accounts, 16 accounts bought in the same direction, of which 15 have no other trades, and 1 has only 1 past trade (predicting the re

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