BlockBeats news, October 10, according to TradingBeats monitoring, the implied probability of "a 25 basis point Fed rate hike in October" on Polymarket is only about 15.5%. Market trader tetrose still retains the rate hike bet previously established, and at the same time holds approximately $4.45 million in BTC and S&P 500 index short positions on Hyperliquid.
On the prediction market side, tetrose currently holds approximately 297,800 "October 25 basis point rate hike" Yes shares, with an average purchase cost corresponding to an implied probability of about 23.42%. As market rate hike expectations cool, the position is currently worth about $46,200, with an unrealized loss of about $23,600.
At the same time, after stopping out yesterday, tetrose again shorted about 20.95 BTC, worth about $1.7345 million, with an unrealized loss of about $6,491; it also holds about $2.7115 million in S&P 500 index short positions, with an unrealized loss of about $1,666. The two short positions have a combined notional value of about $4.446 million.

