The probability of GPT-6.1-Astra's price reaching $40 per million tokens is 56%.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of "whether the launch output price of GPT Astra 6.1+ is at least $40/1m tokens" is currently about 56%. The current official website pricing for the same tier of gpt-6-astra is $50.

This market settles based on the official website's relevant tier pricing for the model: Standard, Short context, Output. If by June 30, 2027, there is still no qualifying Astra 6.1+ model, all price tiers will settle as "No." It should be noted that the liquidity of this market is currently low, and the probability itself has limited reference value.