Prominent crypto lawyer spends $100,000 in the past hour betting that the CLARITY Act will pass

According to PolyBeats monitoring, over the past hour, well-known crypto lawyer Gabriel Shapiro created a Polymarket account and placed a heavy bet of $98,400 on "Yes" in the "Will the Crypto Market Structure Act (i.e., the CLARITY Act) be signed into law this year" market, causing the "Yes" probability to briefly rise from 25.0% to 36.4%.

Shapiro is the co-founder and CEO of MetaLeX and former general counsel at Delphi Labs. His long-term research focuses precisely on "how corporate equity, financing, and governance can have legal effect with on-chain smart contracts," giving him forward-looking reference value on whether the bill will land.

If the bill lands, it will further delineate the regulatory boundaries between the SEC and CFTC over digital assets and provide a clearer framework for token issuance, trading platforms, DeFi, and "Token + Equity" dual-layer capital structures. For businesses like MetaLeX that seek to move company formation, financing, and equity tokenization onto the chain, regulatory certainty itself is a core business variable.

Over the past 48 hours, Congress has not seen new formal legislative action; the bill has still not passed the Senate. The Senate will reconvene on September 14, and on September 15 the cloture process on the motion to proceed will expire and enter a key voting window. It should be noted that this vote is not the final vote on the bill, but if the procedural step advances successfully, the Senate will then formally enter the bill deliberation stage.