According to PolyBeats monitoring, MEPP has placed $6.3k on "Yes" for "Will the foldable iPhone have a starting price of at least $2,000?" with an average buy probability of 60.3%, and the current "Yes" probability stands at 24.0%.
MEPP deployed $6.3k, with the best related sector for this market being technology, where the sector has generated a net profit of $14.4k. In this sector, MEPP has a win rate of 20/23 (87%) across 23 settled trades, including 3 trades with buy prices below $0.8 and sell prices above $0.95. Within a similar cost price range ($0.551-$0.7), the median historical stake amount is $1.4k.
According to Bloomberg's latest assessment, the foldable iPhone may start at $2,000 for the 256GB version; earlier reports also mentioned that Apple internally discussed a $2,199 pricing plan due to rising memory costs.
Forecasts from other institutions have not reached a consensus either. JPMorgan previously set a starting price of $1,999; UBS models estimate around $1,800–$2,000; Ming-Chi Kuo's range is $2,000–$2,500; and TrendForce predicts approximately $2,099–$2,299.
This market's settlement rules only consider the starting price of the lowest-configuration version of Apple's foldable iPhone as first announced in the U.S. market. This explains why the probability of "above $2,000" may only be around 24%: if Apple adopts a psychological pricing point of $1,999, this market would settle as "No."

