Anthropic plans to go public this year, with a 57% probability of exceeding a $2.1 trillion market cap on its IPO debut.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, one account has placed $115,000 on "Yes" for the question "Will Anthropic be the company with the highest IPO market cap this year?" with an average buy-in probability of 57.5%. The account profited nearly $250,000 during the World Cup period.

Reuters reported on the 4th that Anthropic is expected to kick off IPO marketing as early as mid-October and aims to complete its listing before the U.S. midterm elections in November. The company had originally planned to publicly release its prospectus in early September but now expects to adjust the filing timeline to late September. Anthropic is finalizing a $15 billion revolving credit facility, with Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Citigroup involved in the IPO preparations. Some investors estimate its IPO valuation could reach $2 trillion.

For this market to settle as "Yes," Anthropic must complete its IPO within this year, achieve a first-day market cap exceeding SpaceX's comparable performance ($2.1 trillion), and no other IPO dark horse should emerge within the year.
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