According to PolyBeats Analytics, on the prediction market Polymarket, a savvy investor placed a $37.8k bet on "Will STRC Hit $100 Before October?" with a "No" outcome, with an average buy-in probability of 70.3%. The current probability of "Yes" stands at 51.0%.
schizohedgehog wagered $37.8k, with Bitcoin as the most correlated category in this market, resulting in a net profit of $19.1k. Having a perfect record in the category with 5 settled trades at 5/5 (100%), there were no trades where the buy price was below $0.8 and the sell price was above $0.95.
On August 24, Strategy announced the establishment of a separate designated US dollar liquidity pool "USD Cash" under the digital credit capital framework, to be used for Bitcoin purchases, priority stock dividends and debt interest payments, common or preferred stock buybacks, convertible bond redemptions, increasing dollar reserves, and other general Bitcoin corporate finance purposes. The company emphasized that the existing USD Reserve policy remains unchanged, dedicated to servicing preferred stock dividends and outstanding debt interest payments; USD Cash serves as a supplement, granting management more flexible fund allocation capabilities to swiftly respond to market changes and price dislocations of Bitcoin or company securities.
Reuters reported on the 25th that Bitcoin surged past $80,000, marking a cumulative August increase of around 28%. The rise in Bitcoin bolstered the asset value of Strategy's holdings of 840,447 BTC. Boston Fed Chair Susan Collins also stated on the same day that if inflation does not show sustained improvement, the Fed may need to raise interest rates soon. A rate hike would raise the market's yield requirements for perpetual preferred stocks, further affecting the speed at which STRC approaches $100.
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