Silent for a year, a suspicious insider trading account predicts the future direction of the Middle East geopolitical conflict, once profiting $120,000 from the US-Iran 12-Day War.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, 5 minutes ago, an account invested $6.5k in the question "Will the United States launch a military invasion of Iran by 2027?" The average buy-in probability is 28.8%, and the current probability of "Yes" is 29.5%. This account also predicted that Iran would fully close its airspace and that a ceasefire w