Accurately Predicting the US-Iran War Account Regression Buy-in on "Will the Federal Reserve Raise Interest Rates in 2026"

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, the account that accurately predicted the US-Iran conflict before has returned after 4 months of silence to bet $27.6k on "Will the Fed raise interest rates in 2026?", with an average buy-in probability of 52.0%. The current probability for "Yes" is 49.5%. A late June Reuters survey showed that the majo