1 savvy investor bought into the "Next Google Gemini Pro Model Will Be Released by June 30, 2026" bet.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, a savvy trader has placed a $181 bet on "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?" with an average purchase probability of 17.6%. Currently, the probability of "Yes" is 82.5%.

0xf08c827f placed $181, with Google being the top correlated market, earning a net profit of $1000. Out of 5 settled trades in this market, their win rate in the Google market is 5/5 (100%), with 3 trades meeting the criteria of buying below $0.8 and selling above $0.95.

According to the market rules, models such as Gemini 3.2 Pro, Gemini 3.5 Pro, and Gemini 4.0 Pro Preview are all potential outcomes; however, Gemini Flash, Flash-Lite, Live, image/video/music models, or models limited to internal testing, closed testing, or webpage placeholders do not qualify.

When Google released the Gemini 3.5 series on May 19, they first introduced Gemini 3.5 Flash and mentioned in the official blog that the team is developing 3.5 Pro, already in internal use, and planning to launch "next month." Business Insider also reported on the same day that Pichai, at the I/O event, said "give us another month," indicating that Gemini 3.5 Pro did not make it to I/O but is targeting a June release window.

The current official status shows: the Gemini API model page has listed Gemini 3.5 Flash as a stable model, while Gemini 3.1 Pro remains one of the current public Pro models; however, there is no public model entry for Gemini 3.5 Pro yet.

On the other hand, Business Insider reported on June 18 that Gemini co-lead and Character. AI co-founder Noam Shazeer has announced his departure from Google to join OpenAI. Shazeer, a co-author of the Transformer paper, returned to Google in 2024 through an authorization and talent repatriation arrangement with Character. AI.

Note: Based on their historical trading behavior, this trader is not necessarily betting on the actual outcome of the event but may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss actions after opening a position at a certain point.

Account:
0xf08c827f8bccc70f51686be5538611fa696a91e9.
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