【World Cup】 Football Section 75% Win Rate Account Buy "Will Messi Become the Top Scorer in the 2026 World Cup"

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, a soccer section with a 75% win rate account has wagered $1.7k on "Will Messi be the top scorer at the 2026 World Cup," with an initial probability of 19.4% at the time of the bet, and the current probability of "yes" being 23.3%.

Address 0x1f7105a1 has a net profit of $13.5k in the soccer section, with a win rate of 74/99 (74.7%). There were a total of 30 trades where the buy price was below $0.8 and the sell price was above $0.95. Within a similar cost range ($0.101-$0.25), the median of historical investment amounts is $294.

The World Cup group stage match between Argentina and Algeria is swiftly reassessing Messi's Golden Boot expectations. The Guardian live feed shows Messi scoring in the 17th, 60th, and 76th minutes, with Argentina leading Algeria 3-0 at one point.

This market rule focuses on which player will score the most goals after all main rounds of the 2026 World Cup finals. At the 2022 Qatar World Cup, Messi scored 7 goals, second only to Mbappé's 8 goals, who won the Golden Boot and led Argentina to victory; before the match, Messi had a total of 13 World Cup goals, already in the top historical range.

In a comparative view, the current Golden Boot trend is still concentrated on a few key players: Mbappé at around 26% remains the top favorite, benefiting from France's overall championship path and the continuity of his 2022 Golden Boot; Messi has risen to just above 20%, driven by Argentina's deep run expectations and his explosive start with a goal in the first match; Kane is at around 12%, relying on England's squad depth and penalty-taking ability.
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