According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, a new account has placed a $2,500 "Yes" position on "Will Gadi Eizenkot become the next Prime Minister of Israel?", with an average buy probability of 29.3%. The current probability of "Yes" is 28.8%.
The Israeli parliament elections are scheduled to take place on October 27, 2026. Gadi Eizenkot is the former Chief of Staff of the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF), leading the IDF from 2015 to 2019. Following the outbreak of the Gaza War in 2023, he joined the wartime cabinet as part of the National Unity camp and later withdrew from the government with Benny Gantz's camp in 2024. In 2025, he founded the Yashar! Party, focusing on security experience, national unity, and an anti-Netanyahu approach.
With the Israeli parliament passing the first reading of the bill to dissolve the Knesset by a vote of 106-0, the current timeline places the election window between September 8 and October 20. A Direct Polls poll conducted by i24NEWS in late May showed both the Netanyahu camp and the opposition camp holding 60 seats each, falling short of the 61-seat coalition threshold. Eizenkot's Yashar! party, considered a breakthrough party in this round, secured 17 seats, making it the second-largest party in parliament.
Account:
0xa8c985c00a37dcffd745fd393a1719de718b1425.
