According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, a smart money has placed a $24.1k bet on "Will the Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", with an average buying probability of 3.7% and the current probability of 3.9%.
0x966cd853 has also invested $24.1k in this market, with the primary related category being soccer, generating a net profit of $441k. Out of 118 settled transactions in this category, the win rate is 72/118 (61%), with 66 transactions where the buy price was below $0.8 and the sell price was above $0.95. Within a similar cost range ($0.051-$0.1), the median historical investment amount is $1100, making this investment 22.9 times the median amount.
On the 27th, AP reported that the Netherlands secured their frontline core ahead of the World Cup: national team's all-time top scorer Memphis Depay has made Ronald Koeman's 26-man squad after recovering from injury, having scored 55 goals for the Netherlands; even if Depay is not immediately restored to the starting lineup, Koeman has AS Roma forward Donyell Malen in good form as a forward option. AP also pointed out that the Netherlands currently rank 7th in the FIFA World Rankings, with Koeman stating about the team: "We can go a long way, and it's a team that is hard to beat."
Note: Based on their past trading behavior, the trader is not necessarily betting on the outcome of the event, and may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss actions after opening a position at a certain point.
Account:
0x966cd85371117d811aab6e6f2b98377433659b1a
Total Investment: $24.1k
---------------------------------
See tomorrow today, follow @PolyBeatsEN for more updates from the future.
