Polymarket Launches New Market: "Will Kamala Harris Meet with Lee Jae-myung Before May 19th?"

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of the newly launched market "Will Moon Jae-in meet Lee Jae-myung before May 19th?" is currently 87%.

By the rules of the market, the market requires an in-person offline interaction between Lee Jae-myung and Moon Jae-in after the market creation and before 11:59 PM KST on May 19th; activities such as handshake, conversation, or direct greeting all count, while merely being in the same location or standing close does not. The settlement source is consensus from reliable reports.

Asahi reported on May 14th that Japan's Deputy Chief Cabinet Secretary Osaki informed the House of Representatives' Steering Committee that Moon Jae-in will visit South Korea on May 19th to 20th and meet Lee Jae-myung, with the location pointing to Lee Jae-myung's hometown of Andong. The report also mentioned that this falls under the "shuttle diplomacy" between the leaders of the two countries, and the meeting is expected to discuss the regional situation after the US-China summit and the strengthening of Japan-South Korea relations.

Although the Japanese side has provided confirmation, the South Korean side's previous statement remains at "the final date is still under discussion," with no specific date confirmed yet.