5 Smart Money Accounts Bet $144,300 on the Prediction "Iran/Israel-US Conflict Will End by 4/15"

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, 5 accounts have collectively wagered $144.3k on the outcome of "Will the Iran and Israel/US conflict end before April 15?" with the current probability of "Yes" standing at 73%.

Among these 5 accounts, duderr has a 53% win rate in the World Macro sector, with a total profit of $1.3M; nojnn has a 73% win rate in the Geopolitics sector, with a total profit of $265k; 8934394839 has a 68% win rate in the Geopolitics sector, with a total profit of $521k; denizz has a 67% win rate in the Politics sector, with a total profit of $808k; SeniorLaghetto has a 66% win rate in the Geopolitics sector, with a total profit of $49k.

Previously, Pakistan's Prime Minister Sharif stated that all parties are making "full efforts" to resolve the remaining issues between the US and Iran; following the inconclusive Islamabad talks, the ceasefire is still holding, and a second round of talks may take place in the coming days.

Today, according to Pakistani diplomatic sources, both the US and Iran have agreed to continue negotiations, but there are still disagreements and disputes over the details of the next round of talks. Pakistan has proposed holding the second round of US-Iran talks in Islamabad before the ceasefire expires.

Note: Based on their past trading behavior, this trader is not necessarily betting on the actual outcome of the event, as they may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss actions at a certain point after opening a position.

Accounts:
0x8f7a4b414417911e7e9bd738399874792cdbdb40
0x7f9e2d1df78614564a70becc7fa14aa9a6623a0e
0x88c4919de76e526d55a32c1f8afb439dd1f1129a
0xbaa2bcb5439e985ce4ccf815b4700027d1b92c73
0x05ab749a8554fb7c852238c271d384bae6798145

Total Wager: $144.3k
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