According to PolyBeats monitoring, three new addresses have collectively invested $80,500 in the "Will the next Hungarian Prime Minister be Péter Márki-Zay" market on the prediction platform Polymarket, where the current probability of "Yes" is 71%.
Orbán's 16-year rule is facing an endgame risk, with Márki-Zay and TISZA "leading in most polls". This shift may be attributed to economic stagnation, rising living costs, corruption controversies, and a backlash against the relationship with Russia.
Márki-Zay poses a "significant challenge" to Orbán. However, Orbán still enjoys a lead among the inhabitants of small towns, rural areas, and voters over 65, and the true uncertainty lies in whether this lead can smoothly translate into a majority of seats.
Addresses:
0x7b622190aee4af6106455c431688af9e21d44c23;
0x19f6874320fdcff817b576101698f086385668a9;
0x6764897024b2ce7eecf95b5eab07bffe2e1549c4.
