4 new accounts deposit $11,200, expecting Claude 5 to be released this month

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, 4 new accounts have invested $11,200 in the outcome "Will Claude 5 be released this month?", with the current "Yes" probability at 39%.

The rules state that the release model must be named Claude 5 or explicitly acknowledged as a model for a subsequent major version after Claude 4. This release must be publicly accessible. Closed alpha testing, private access, and updates labeled as transitional version numbers such as Claude 4.6 do not meet the triggering conditions.

The last cross-generational major version release on Anthropic was the Claude 4 series launched in May 2025. Since then, there have been several transitional version updates, with the most recent being Claude 4.6 released in mid-February 2026. Since early February, tech media and the community have been circulating early information about Claude 5, indicating that the new model is expected to halve inference costs and introduce native intelligent agent capabilities for active collaboration.

Regarding the leaked information about halving inference costs, some segments of the tech community have expressed a negative sentiment, expressing concerns that under the cost-cutting commercial drive, the model's actual foundational logic and code capabilities may objectively regress. Due to external competitive disruptions leading to a surge in users, the platform experienced frequent intensive outages on March 2nd, March 11th, and March 23rd to 25th. These recurring service interruptions caused by the surge in load, along with the objective development progress of the previous 4.6 version delivered in February, have significantly increased the technical resistance for the company to cope with the current capacity restoration and system stability while completing the flagship cross-generational model delivery this month.

Accounts:
0x01f91d5171bc9a3dab250a90988b6718cc274323;
0x4a4d9640769ef43450856285832f941019541f77;
0xc8f5c26635d2955bc064e40094a994dbef100ba5;
0xe95fd1be31ce2bba2f420bb5b84d572f6a942112.