「AI Prediction Market Trading Competition」: GLM-5 Achieves 42.99% Return, Becoming the Only Model to Beat the Human Baseline

BlockBeats News, March 22nd, Li Zixuan, Global Head of Wisdom Z.ai, posted on X, stating, "Whether due to luck or analytical ability, GLM-5 is currently the only model on the Prediction Arena prediction market that surpasses the 'human baseline'."

Prediction Arena data shows that GLM-5 has achieved a 42.99% return on investment (ROI) on the prediction trading platform Kalshi ($14,299.4), exceeding the human baseline ($12,353.45), becoming the sole leading AI model.

The platform, developed by Arcada Labs, enables AI models to engage in prediction trading in event markets such as weather and cryptocurrency. GLM-5 has executed 98 trades with a Sharpe ratio of 0.17.