According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, an account that has realized profits in all 7 past oil price-related predictions has invested $2000, buying “Yes” on “Will crude oil hit $120 before the end of March”, currently at a 25% probability.
Following yesterday's Israeli military strike on Iranian oil infrastructure, Trump tweeted that the US was not informed of the strike. The specific content of his tweet clearly stated that Israel did not notify or coordinate militarily with the US before carrying out this action targeting energy assets.
Regarding the progress of the strategic oil reserve release, the US government officially launched a plan in mid-March to release a total of 172 million barrels, with approximately 10 million barrels being released to the market each week as planned.
Note: Based on their trading history, this trader is not necessarily betting on the actual outcome of events and may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss behavior at a certain point after opening a position.
Account:
0xefb3247a575c3e78304ec106ddafefefa5b702bf.
