According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, 3 smart money accounts have invested $9,400 in the "Will there be a new state attack on Iran before April" market, currently at a 24% probability.
On the 18th, the Saudi Foreign Minister explicitly stated that Saudi Arabia reserves the right to take military action against Iran. On the same day, the UK government also mentioned that it is providing further support to Gulf partners that have been attacked by Iran and announced plans to purchase additional missiles to protect the region.
Today, during a meeting in Riyadh, foreign ministers from 12 Muslim countries issued a statement condemning Iran's strikes on Gulf neighbors, stating that its attacks on residential areas, oil facilities, airports, and desalination plants "cannot be justified under any circumstances."
Note: Based on their past trading behavior, this trader is not necessarily betting on whether the event will actually occur, as they may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss behavior at a certain point after opening a position.
Accounts:
0x25db6ca5935ae858a5c1f2dcd5c62939805328de;
0xcf6a714618a328c608a1c70cb62a31a6bef3f9d0;
0x53e55bc7cb3d67ad177c023ce891ad076a9d6177.
