Successfully predicted Maduro's arrest Address re-engaged with $65,400, predicted "US-Iran ceasefire by May"

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, in the past 24 hours, there has been a resurgence of an address that successfully predicted Maduro's arrest, investing $65.4k in buying "Yes" on "Will the US and Iran cease fire before May," with the current probability of "Yes" being 33%.

Former National Counterterrorism Center Director Joe Kent publicly stated that he and other senior officials were not allowed to fully convey their concerns about striking Iran to Trump, leading to his resignation, turning internal U.S. policy disagreements into public political pressure.

Trump emphasized publicly that neither the U.S. nor Qatar participated in the Israeli attack on the South Pars gas field in Iran and warned Iran not to attack Qatar again. Major European countries also refused deeper involvement in U.S. military actions against Iran, preferring to address the Hormuz issue through diplomacy and non-military means.

Note: Based on their past trading behavior, the trader did not bet on whether the event actually occurred, displaying behavior of taking profit or stop loss at a certain time point after opening a position.

Account:
0x44de2a52d8d2d3ddcf39d58e315a10df53ba9c08

Total Investment: $65.4k
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