According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, in the past 24 hours, an address with a perfect 11/11 prediction history from an Iran event has invested $40,000, buying "No" on "Will there be a ceasefire between the US and Iran before 4.15", with the current probability of "No" at 80%.
Today, Trump warned Iran not to attack Qatar again, or the US will respond more forcefully against Iranian assets. Sources say Trump is weighing further actions against Iran, with his administration considering deploying an additional one thousand troops to the Middle East.
Note: Based on their past trading behavior, this trader is not necessarily betting on the actual outcome of the event and may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss behavior at a certain point after opening a position.
Address:
0xc0a1298e2d6ba216efb554865369152da9c5a33b
Total Investment: $40k
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