According to PolyBeats monitoring, Polymarket has launched a new market "Will Neymar participate in the 2026 World Cup," with the current probability of "Yes" at 37%.
At 34 years old, Neymar has been plagued by injuries. He delivered a lackluster performance in the league match against Corinthians on March 15. On March 16, Brazil's national team head coach, Ancelotti, announced the squad for the March warm-up matches, with Neymar being directly excluded. This is the final important test window before the World Cup. His absence indicates that Ancelotti does not trust Neymar's physical availability. With little time left until the May World Cup squad announcement, Ancelotti has publicly stated multiple times: if Neymar is 100% healthy, he will go to the World Cup.
