87.5% Win Rate Account Invests $12,000 to Predict "Google Will Reach the Summit of the Strongest AI Model in March"

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, an account with a high win rate has invested $12,000 to predict "Google will be the AI model ranked first in March," with the current probability of this option being 22%.

This account has an 87.5% win rate in predictions related to the Google AI rankings (7 wins, 1 loss), with the only loss being less than $1.

This market is based on the Elo rating of the authoritative blind testing platform LMSYS Chatbot Arena, which rates numerous models by simultaneously providing users with answers from 2 different anonymous models and allowing users to vote for the better option. Anthropic holds the top two positions on the leaderboard with the recently released Claude Opus 4.6, while the newly released Gemini-3.1-pro-preview version currently ranks third.

It is worth noting that the winning option in the past 8 series of the "Monthly Best AI Model" market has always been Google. Recently, the developer community has frequently tracked in the LMSYS blind testing pool a mysterious anonymous model with extremely fast first-letter output time and strong capabilities. Although there is currently no official information released, the community speculates that Gemini 3.1 Ultra may be released soon.

Account:
0x4a950101daa250350b2e4a05a1ff9f06c5ef2d06

Total Position: $12k
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