Trump Threatens to Strike Iran Again, Market Reacts Mildly

BlockBeats News, January 28th, according to PolyBeats monitoring, Trump once again posted on Truth Social threatening to strike Iran, stating, "A massive fleet is heading towards Iran. It is moving swiftly, with great momentum, and a clear target. This fleet is even larger, led by the powerful aircraft carrier 'Abraham Lincoln.' Similar to dealing with Venezuela, this fleet is ready at any time and capable of completing the mission rapidly, even resorting to the use of force if necessary. Hopefully, Iran can return to the negotiating table soon and reach a fair and reasonable agreement - not involving nuclear weapons - an agreement beneficial to all parties. The next attack will be even more devastating! Let's not repeat the tragedy."

However, the market has long since digested the U.S.'s expectations of taking action against Iran. The cryptocurrency market has maintained a mild rebound. In the Polymarket "When Will the U.S. Strike Iran" market, the probability of the U.S. taking action by the end of January remains at a low 11%, and the probability of taking action by the end of March stays at 59%. The market expects that the U.S. military is unlikely to take actual action in the short term.

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